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JABIL INC (JBL)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 FY25 was strong: revenue $7.83B, GAAP EPS $2.03, core EPS $2.55; core operating margin reached 5.4% on AI-driven strength in Intelligent Infrastructure .
  • Jabil raised FY25 guidance: revenue to $29B, core EPS to $9.33, maintained core margin 5.4% and adjusted FCF $1.2B+ .
  • Q4 FY25 guidance implies continued AI momentum (enterprise revenue $7.1–$7.8B; core EPS $2.64–$3.04) while remaining prudent on EV/renewables and consumer .
  • Significant strategic catalyst: announced multi-year $500M U.S. manufacturing expansion supporting cloud/AI data center infrastructure, operational by mid-2026 .
  • Results beat Wall Street consensus on both revenue and EPS; estimates likely to recalibrate upward for FY25 given raised outlook (consensus context below; Values retrieved from S&P Global).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • AI/data center infrastructure drove outsized performance: Intelligent Infrastructure revenue $3.4B (+~51% YoY) and core margins at 5.3%, supported by server rack integration and power/cooling solutions .
  • Core EPS $2.55 rose 35% YoY; core operating income $420M exceeded guidance range as mix and execution improved .
  • Strategic investment: announced ~$500M U.S. site to deepen AI rack, liquid cooling, and thermal capabilities; expected to diversify revenue growth across hyperscalers/colos .

Selected management quote:

  • “Our Intelligent Infrastructure segment remains a critical growth engine, benefiting from accelerating AI-driven demand… tracking toward record core earnings per share.” — CEO Mike Dastoor .

What Went Wrong

  • EV and renewables remained soft; Regulated Industries revenue ~$3.1B was flat YoY and margins down 50 bps YoY despite sequential improvement .
  • Networking/5G weakness diluted Intelligent Infrastructure segment margins, offsetting leverage from cloud/DCI ramp .
  • Consumer-centric products pressured Connected Living revenue (~$1.3B, down ~7% YoY), although restructuring and mix lifted segment margins to 5.3% (+210 bps YoY) .

Financial Results

Consolidated P&L and Margins (Quarterly)

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Net Revenue ($USD Billions)$6.99 $6.73 $7.83
GAAP Operating Income ($USD Millions)$197 $245 $403
GAAP Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.88 $1.06 $2.03
Core Operating Income (Non-GAAP, $USD Millions)$347 $334 $420
Core Diluted EPS (Non-GAAP, $USD)$2.00 $1.94 $2.55
Core Operating Margin (%)5.0% 5.0% 5.4%
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$606 $576 $681

Notes on non-GAAP: Core excludes amortization of intangibles, stock-based comp, restructuring, and divestiture-related items; Q3 core also excludes a recognized post-closing gain from Mobility divestiture adjustments (reclassified out of core) .

Segment Breakdown (Revenue and Margins)

SegmentQ2 2025 Revenue ($B)Q2 YoYQ2 Core MarginQ3 2025 Revenue ($B)Q3 YoYQ3 Core Margin
Regulated Industries~$2.7 -8% 4.8% ~$3.1 ~0% 5.5%
Intelligent Infrastructure~$2.6 +18% 5.3% ~$3.4 +~51% 5.3%
Connected Living & Digital Commerce~$1.3 -13% (ex-Mobility +4%) 4.5% ~$1.3 -~7% 5.3%

KPIs and Cash Flow

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Inventory Days56 (net) 80; net 61 74; net 59
Cash from Operations ($USD Millions)$312 $334 $406
Net Capital Expenditures ($USD Millions)$86 $73 $80
Adjusted Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$226 $261 $326
Cash Balance ($USD Billions)$2.06 $1.59 $1.52
Debt-to-Core EBITDA (x)~1.4x ~1.4x ~1.4x
Share Repurchases ($USD Millions)$232 $636 (cash flow) $339

Consensus vs Actual (Quarterly)

MetricQ2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue Consensus Mean ($USD Billions)$6.40*$7.07*
Revenue Actual ($USD Billions)$6.73 $7.83
Primary EPS Consensus Mean ($USD)$1.83*$2.32*
GAAP Diluted EPS Actual ($USD)$1.06 $2.03
Core Diluted EPS Actual ($USD)$1.94 $2.55

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net RevenueQ4 FY25N/A$7.1B–$7.8B New
GAAP Operating IncomeQ4 FY25N/A$331M–$411M New
GAAP Diluted EPSQ4 FY25N/A$1.79–$2.37 New
Core Operating Income (Non-GAAP)Q4 FY25N/A$428M–$488M New
Core Diluted EPS (Non-GAAP)Q4 FY25N/A$2.64–$3.04 New
Net Interest ExpenseQ4 FY25N/A~$65M New
Core Tax RateQ4 FY25N/A21% New
Regulated Segment RevenueQ4 FY25N/A~$2.9B (down ~5% YoY) New
Intelligent Infrastructure RevenueQ4 FY25N/A~$3.3B (+~42% YoY) New
Connected Living & Digital Commerce RevenueQ4 FY25N/A~$1.3B (-~21% YoY) New
Net RevenueFY25$27.9B $29.0B Raised
Core Operating MarginFY255.4% 5.4% Maintained
Core Diluted EPSFY25$8.95 $9.33 Raised
Adjusted Free Cash FlowFY25$1.2B+ $1.2B+ Maintained
DividendQ4 FY25$0.08/share declared, payable Sep 3, 2025 Maintained cadence

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ1 FY25 (Dec)Q2 FY25 (Mar)Q3 FY25 (Jun)Trend
AI/data center initiativesDeepening hyperscaler relationship; server rack integration; raised AI to ~$6.5–$7.5B II +18% YoY; guidance raised; design/engineering yields at launch AI-related revenue now ~$8.5B for FY25; II $3.4B in Q3 Accelerating
Tariffs/macroTariffs largely pass-through; 30 U.S. sites; well-positioned Broadened scenarios (China/Canada/Mexico); USMCA compliance; prudence Minimal pull-ins; monitoring U.S. legislation Manageable uncertainty
EV/renewablesSoftness; energy storage solid; prudent outlook Continued caution in EV/renewables Softness persists; Regulated flat YoY Weak
Digital commerce/automationEx-Mobility +12% growth; warehouse/retail automation Strength continues in warehouse automation CLDC revenue down YoY but margins +210 bps; exploring humanoids/robots Improving mix/margins
Photonics/transceiversIntel acquisition enabling 100–400G; 800G/1.6T roadmap 800G ramp; 1.6T timing toward year-end 1.6T showcased; ramp expected late CY25/early CY26 Ramping
Capital allocation80% FCF to buybacks; completing $1B auth in FY25 $364M remaining; on track $339M repurchased; plan to complete $1B in Q4; likely renewal Jul–Sep Consistent
U.S. manufacturing footprintLocal-for-local emphasis; rapid site ramp capability Prepared for potential reverse lift-and-shift Announced ~$500M Southeast U.S. site, operational mid-2026 Scaling
Healthcare/PIIPII acquisition; GLP-1/diagnostics opportunities TAM expansion; long qualification cycles Healthcare a bright spot; focus on drug delivery/diagnostics/pharma solutions Building

Management Commentary

  • Strategic positioning: “Being a U.S. domiciled company with deep experience across 30 countries allows us to partner with customers to navigate issues like potential tariffs and supply chain complexities…” — CEO Mike Dastoor .
  • AI momentum: “Demand for AI hardware is not slowing down… we now project our AI-related revenue will reach approximately $8.5 billion this fiscal year, a 50%+ increase year on year.” — CEO Mike Dastoor .
  • Margin path: “We find ourselves with underutilized capacity… expect ~20 bps from better utilization, ~20 bps from SG&A leverage, ~20 bps from mix over the next 2–3 years” — CEO Mike Dastoor .
  • Capital allocation: “Returning 80% of our free cash flow to buybacks… on track to complete our current $1 billion authorization in Q4” — CFO Greg Hebard .

Q&A Highlights

  • Tariff/pull-in risk: Management sees minimal pull-ins; cloud/DCI and capital equipment are U.S.-centric with limited tariff impact; reciprocal tariffs could level the playing field for manufacturing .
  • Intelligent Infrastructure margins: Flat at 5.3% despite ~$800M revenue increase due to incremental investments and 5G dilution; leverage expected as scale builds .
  • U.S. expansion rationale: ~$500M site supports diversified hyperscaler/colo base; broader AI ecosystem (liquid cooling, power management) targeted; CapEx still 1.5–2% of revenue .
  • Photonics trajectory: 200/400G moving to 800G; 1.6T well received at OFC, expecting uptick late CY25/early CY26; photonics ramping toward ~$0.75–$0.83B near term with potential to $1B+ longer term .
  • Capital returns and leverage: Committed 80% FCF to buybacks; debt-to-EBITDA ~1.4x, leaving capacity for tuck-in M&A and potential larger accretive deals if warranted .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 FY25 beat: Revenue $7.83B vs consensus ~$7.07B; GAAP EPS $2.03 and core EPS $2.55 vs consensus ~$2.32 — both significant beats (Values retrieved from S&P Global) .
  • Q2 FY25 beat: Revenue $6.73B vs consensus ~$6.40B; GAAP EPS $1.06 and core EPS $1.94 vs consensus ~$1.83 (Values retrieved from S&P Global) .
  • FY25 outlook raised (revenue and EPS), implying potential upward revisions to full-year estimates as AI momentum increases and free cash flow tracks $1.2B+ .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • AI infrastructure is the core growth engine; projected FY25 AI revenue ~$8.5B underpins raised full-year revenue/EPS guidance — a continued positive driver into Q4 and FY26 setup .
  • Margin trajectory constructive: enterprise core margin already 5.4%; utilization, SG&A leverage, and higher-margin mix offer a path toward 6%+ over time .
  • Balanced prudence: Management remains conservative on EV/renewables and consumer; segment guidance reflects caution while cloud/DCI strength persists .
  • Capital allocation is shareholder-friendly: ~80% of FCF to buybacks; $339M repurchased in Q3; likely authorization renewal in Jul–Sep .
  • Strategic U.S. footprint expansion: ~$500M site enhances domestic AI manufacturing capability; multi-year ramp with impact expected from FY27 — supports long-term growth narrative .
  • Cash flow resilience: Year-to-date adjusted FCF $813M; tracking $1.2B+ for FY25; debt/EBITDA ~1.4x provides flexibility for tuck-in M&A and vertical integration opportunities .
  • Trading implications: Near term, sustained AI momentum and raised FY25 guide are catalysts; watch tariff headlines and 5G softness for sentiment swings while focusing on Q4 execution within guidance ranges .

Additional Document References

  • Q3 FY25 8-K and Exhibit 99.1 (press release): revenue/EPS/guidance and non-GAAP reconciliations .
  • Q3 FY25 earnings call: segment performance, KPIs, Q&A detail .
  • U.S. expansion press release (June 17, 2025): $500M investment announcement .
  • Dividend press release (July 17, 2025): $0.08/share declaration .
  • Prior quarters: Q2 FY25 8-K/press release and call for trend analysis ; Q1 FY25 8-K/call for baseline .